Thursday, November 04, 2004

Young People Did Vote.

On election night, the networks were all talking about how young people did not turn out to vote any more than they had in the past. Now that the election's over and the numbers are in, it turns out that they did, in fact, turn out in heavy numbers after all.

Four years ago, just 42.3 percent of young people voted. This year more than 51.6 percent did.

Young people were especially active in battleground states, with turnout at 64.4 percent of eligible voters. Furthermore, these estimates understate things, because college kids are more likely than other groups (except the military) to vote by absentee ballot. Surveys of college students around the country, done in the weeks before the election, found 42 percent of students planning to vote absentee. Exit polls completely miss these young voters who numbered, this year, close to 3 million.

According to exit polls, Senator John Kerry won the under-30 set with 54 percent of the vote to President Bush's 44 percent. The Democrats lost every other age group. Without young Democrat voters, President Bush would have rolled to victory in Wisconsin and New Hampshire; Iowa and Nevada, too, would have been much bigger wins for the president.
What would the results have looked like if only 18-29 years olds had voted? Since it's apparently map day, here's one more: